Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BEL +115 UCI -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +8 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -5.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.6 (-4.4) | 149.5 (+26.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -2.7 (-5.3) | 147.5 (+28.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -2.5 (-5.5) | 147.6 (+28.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -3.2 (-4.8) | 151.3 (+24.7) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BEL 84 – 58 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-4 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#133) | 11.4 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#81) | 2.85 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#114) | 3.68 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#83) | 0.646 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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