Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | GT -1800 LAF +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +14 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | GT -16.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -12.1 (+1.9) | 141.5 (+34.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GT -13.6 (+0.4) | 143.3 (+32.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GT -12.2 (+1.8) | 140.3 (+35.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -11.9 (+2.1) | 140.2 (+35.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-9 | 6-10 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#170) | -11.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#210) | -3.16 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#222) | -4.22 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#195) | 0.329 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.