I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Beasley Coliseum · December 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money WSU -375 / MER +295
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +6 162 Won
Massey WSU -3.0 (+3.0)
Massey Totals 152.9 (+9.1)
Bradley-Terry 23%
Weighted B-T 27%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -3.8 (+2.2) 143.3 (+18.7) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -2.3 (+3.7) 141.7 (+20.3) 59%
Baseline ML WSU -2.1 (+3.9) 142.7 (+19.3) 60%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -2.1 (+3.9) 144.8 (+17.2) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU MER
Overall 12-20 19-13
Conference 7-11 11-7
Home 9-6 14-1
Away 2-11 5-11
Neutral 1-3 0-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 80.1
Avg Pts Against 77.3 77.8
Massey 0.6 (#162) 1.9 (#142)
Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#238) 1.24 (#90)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.50 (#201) 1.38 (#104)
RPI 0.478 (#216) 0.568 (#76)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU MER
FG% 46.0% 44.5%
3PT% 33.2% 33.8%
REB / G 33.0 34.6
OREB / G 9.1 10.3
AST / TO 0.96 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 51.4%
TOV% 18.3% 16.0%
ORB% 28.7% 28.5%
FT Rate 24.9% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.2% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 17.6%
DRB% 76.5% 63.6%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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