Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -258 IONA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -3.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -2.2 (-7.2) | 152.5 (+8.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.1 (-8.1) | 152.9 (+8.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -3.6 (-8.6) | 152.3 (+8.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.1 (-8.1) | 153.1 (+7.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | IONA 62 – 59 UVM |
| Nov 19, 2022 | IONA 71 – 50 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#173) | 0.4 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | 0.56 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | 0.48 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.517 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.