Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 176.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -5000 SDAK +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +30 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -21.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -19.6 (+10.4) | 161.8 (+20.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -19.5 (+10.5) | 161.5 (+20.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -20.8 (+9.2) | 160.2 (+21.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -20.1 (+9.9) | 162.3 (+19.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 81.7 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#54) | -6.3 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#60) | -1.19 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#77) | -1.30 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#54) | 0.422 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 36.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.