Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TAR -1350 FAMU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +24 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -17.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -14.4 (+9.6) | 148.0 (-16.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TAR -12.3 (+11.7) | 148.2 (-16.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TAR -14.1 (+9.9) | 147.1 (-15.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -14.3 (+9.7) | 148.5 (-16.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | TAR 70 – 60 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#172) | -12.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#124) | -1.37 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#120) | -2.08 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#106) | 0.468 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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