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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 65 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Indiana @ Minnesota	-8.4	135.5	24%	64–73	✗
Southern Indiana @ Western Michigan	+4.6	151.8	71%	74–88	✓
North Carolina Central @ James Madison	+14.6	141.0	88%	62–67	✓
Louisiana @ Lamar	+15.2	132.1	86%	55–65	✓
Drexel @ American University	+4.5	140.5	60%	73–75	✓
Cornell @ Towson	+3.7	145.0	69%	80–93	✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth	+10.0	140.2	84%	68–69	✓
Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate	+3.3	139.7	62%	78–85	✓
Southern Illinois @ High Point	+13.4	158.2	86%	86–84	✗
Presbyterian @ Wofford	+7.6	137.2	70%	56–63	✓
Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern	+1.0	139.2	61%	69–77	✓
Southern Miss @ Radford	-3.9	145.0	39%	82–75	✓
Furman @ Elon	+5.3	147.8	70%	97–88	✗
Marshall @ UNC Wilmington	+8.9	144.6	75%	69–70	✓
Gardner-Webb @ Queens University	+14.6	151.8	88%	74–107	✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida International	+1.2	155.6	57%	83–89	✓
Austin Peay @ Kent State	+4.9	152.3	75%	84–96	✓
Maine @ Ohio	+4.9	132.5	69%	57–79	✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton	+7.7	139.2	72%	71–93	✓
Navy @ Delaware State	-10.0	132.1	15%	66–59	✓
Coppin State @ West Virginia	+26.0	135.4	91%	49–91	✓
Hofstra @ Columbia	+5.1	139.6	70%	70–72	✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky	+11.6	155.2	87%	80–95	✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland	+9.9	156.0	85%	92–101	✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy	+4.2	159.7	74%	78–92	✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's	+0.5	147.9	49%	87–80	✗
Central Connecticut @ Seton Hall	+12.2	137.1	84%	61–77	✓
Harvard @ Massachusetts	+5.4	134.7	69%	71–78	✓
Bucknell @ Akron	+23.9	152.9	90%	77–97	✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin	+5.8	143.9	78%	60–73	✓
Louisville @ Arkansas	-0.2	164.8	55%	80–89	✗
Clemson @ Alabama	+8.5	163.0	69%	84–90	✓
LSU @ Boston College	-8.1	143.3	27%	78–69	✓
Mississippi Valley State @ UL Monroe	+6.2	152.3	79%	52–66	✓
Little Rock @ Central Arkansas	+3.0	134.9	64%	47–85	✓
Richmond @ Belmont	+12.3	154.3	85%	84–76	✗
Alcorn State @ Iowa State	+28.3	158.3	91%	68–132	✓
Tennessee State @ Alabama A&M	-5.3	142.0	31%	53–80	✗
Northern Colorado @ Omaha	-6.1	157.6	32%	75–70	✓
South Dakota State @ Northern Arizona	+1.1	139.3	48%	75–62	✗
Princeton @ Monmouth	+3.8	141.0	69%	58–63	✓
Idaho State @ Kansas City	-8.1	138.7	20%	68–59	✓
UMBC @ Georgetown	+15.2	140.7	89%	81–90	✓
Ball State @ Evansville	+3.3	134.1	60%	52–64	✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Illinois State	+15.0	146.3	87%	78–89	✓
Portland State @ South Dakota	-1.3	152.5	49%	77–71	✓
New Orleans @ Memphis	+9.3	145.3	84%	70–86	✓
California Baptist @ BYU	+16.2	143.8	87%	60–91	✓
North Dakota State @ Montana	+2.3	151.3	57%	81–72	✗
Oral Roberts @ Weber State	+8.7	151.9	81%	66–92	✓
Texas State @ Rice	+3.7	133.9	62%	72–77	✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Montana State	+4.4	140.4	66%	74–82	✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin	+6.6	151.5	78%	73–85	✓
North Dakota @ Idaho	+9.4	143.7	82%	58–90	✓
Eastern Washington @ Denver	+5.6	149.8	78%	89–93	✓
Pacific @ Air Force	-5.8	133.9	26%	80–65	✓
SMU @ Vanderbilt	+12.4	159.1	86%	69–88	✓
Virginia @ Texas	+4.2	151.3	66%	88–69	✗
Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech	+3.9	151.8	70%	85–73	✗
NC State @ Auburn	+8.0	162.3	77%	73–83	✓
Vermont @ Oregon State	-0.6	147.3	59%	58–80	✗
Utah Tech @ Santa Clara	+24.0	141.1	90%	80–90	✓
Utah Valley @ San Diego State	+3.4	147.3	62%	66–77	✓
North Alabama @ San Francisco	+12.1	142.1	85%	65–63	✗
UCLA @ Washington	+1.2	140.0	64%	82–80	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.