Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–14 on winners spread MAE 10.1 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ Michigan State +7.4 130.9 76% 52–71 ✓
Tennessee @ Syracuse -4.9 144.7 27% 60–62 ✗
New Mexico State @ South Alabama -1.7 133.3 45% 75–77 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ UNC Asheville +6.3 142.5 73% 77–82 ✓
Jackson State @ Kennesaw State +15.1 152.9 89% 73–88 ✓
Cornell @ George Mason +11.4 153.0 83% 81–99 ✓
Georgia State @ Mercer +14.3 149.6 89% 67–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ North Florida -1.7 146.5 43% 72–63 ✓
Florida A&M @ Jacksonville +12.0 134.0 88% 82–85 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Butler +18.8 146.4 89% 68–84 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ East Carolina +7.4 133.4 82% 56–68 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Charlotte +4.3 138.6 72% 57–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Binghamton -4.7 138.0 49% 71–80 ✗
Brown @ Rhode Island +15.7 133.7 87% 56–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Duquesne +1.2 157.3 49% 83–79 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Dayton +5.4 142.1 77% 71–88 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Providence +18.6 160.4 90% 64–94 ✓
Virginia Tech @ South Carolina +5.6 149.3 68% 86–83 ✗
Oklahoma @ Wake Forest +9.7 155.6 80% 86–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Pittsburgh -0.5 147.1 38% 81–73 ✓
Florida @ Duke +13.4 158.8 83% 66–67 ✓
Western Illinois @ Drake +18.0 136.6 89% 57–108 ✓
Grambling @ Tulane +6.1 141.2 79% 63–65 ✓
Winthrop @ Long Island University -5.9 150.3 27% 94–92 ✓
Purdue @ Rutgers -12.5 142.4 18% 81–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ North Texas +11.5 126.2 83% 75–77 ✓
Wagner @ Maryland +9.7 152.8 87% 63–89 ✓
Morehead State @ Murray State +15.1 155.6 88% 52–84 ✓
Washington State @ Bradley +8.9 147.4 81% 60–64 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State +4.4 143.4 68% 63–83 ✓
Lindenwood @ Northern Illinois +4.5 144.8 73% 99–64 ✗
Valparaiso @ Marquette +12.5 143.5 84% 72–75 ✓
Sacramento State @ Baylor +21.4 152.5 90% 88–110 ✓
Central Michigan @ Loyola Chicago -0.2 136.5 47% 72–83 ✗
Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State +9.3 158.7 81% 83–93 ✓
UConn @ Kansas +3.3 137.8 61% 61–56 ✗
Stetson @ Grand Canyon +18.3 137.6 90% 45–67 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Pepperdine +4.7 133.0 60% 71–63 ✗
Nicholls @ Creighton +14.5 139.2 88% 76–96 ✓
Miami @ Ole Miss +1.8 144.8 68% 75–66 ✗
Georgia @ Florida State -0.1 169.0 58% 107–73 ✓
Missouri @ Notre Dame +0.4 138.4 50% 71–76 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky +10.2 153.9 78% 67–64 ✗
USC @ Oregon -5.7 159.4 39% 82–77 ✓
UC San Diego @ Nevada +1.7 151.3 57% 70–76 ✓
Utah @ California +12.1 155.0 85% 72–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Marymount -4.8 141.7 34% 91–70 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UIC +16.0 153.5 89% 63–62 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Lipscomb +15.1 146.3 88% 80–83 ✓
Northeastern @ Holy Cross -6.6 133.3 24% 59–76 ✗
Wright State @ Youngstown State +2.2 144.9 58% 68–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.