← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
West Georgia
@
Troy
|
+15.4 | 152.3 | 89% | 93–89 | ✗ |
Iona
@
Delaware
|
+1.0 | 151.8 | 48% | 89–66 | ✗ |
North Alabama
@
Jacksonville State
|
+6.2 | 131.8 | 67% | 73–66 | ✗ |
Tarleton State
@
Cincinnati
|
+8.3 | 139.9 | 84% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Saint Francis
@
Xavier
|
+24.7 | 146.2 | 91% | 74–96 | ✓ |
UAB
@
Middle Tennessee
|
+1.3 | 146.6 | 52% | 61–76 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Incarnate Word
|
-8.2 | 146.4 | 21% | 67–71 | ✗ |
Bowling Green
@
Kansas State
|
+11.5 | 151.8 | 83% | 82–66 | ✗ |
California Baptist
@
Colorado
|
+8.1 | 145.9 | 69% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Portland
@
Stanford
|
+16.5 | 148.6 | 89% | 72–94 | ✓ |
George Washington
@
Army
|
-11.5 | 158.3 | 16% | 84–70 | ✓ |
Charleston Southern
@
UT Martin
|
+7.8 | 146.3 | 79% | 56–73 | ✓ |
Campbell
@
Penn State
|
+17.8 | 147.5 | 88% | 76–87 | ✓ |
Stonehill
@
Bryant
|
+6.8 | 132.2 | 74% | 65–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.