Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -310 STO +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -8.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.8 (+5.2) | 132.2 (+9.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -5.8 (+6.2) | 127.7 (+14.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -6.8 (+5.2) | 127.6 (+14.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -6.5 (+5.5) | 130.8 (+11.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | STO 67 – 66 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#278) | -10.8 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#313) | -3.69 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#317) | -5.84 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#260) | 0.370 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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