Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | STO +550 BRY -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -3.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.0 (+7.0) | 145.3 (-12.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.4 (+2.4) | 144.2 (-11.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.6 (+2.6) | 145.9 (-12.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.0 (+2.0) | 147.0 (-14.0) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | BRY 77 – 65 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#284) | 3.3 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#272) | 1.34 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#226) | 1.20 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#245) | 0.557 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 15.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 17.0% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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