Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -12.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -7.8 (+9.2) | 146.3 (-17.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -9.8 (+7.2) | 143.4 (-14.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -10.2 (+6.8) | 144.4 (-15.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -9.4 (+7.6) | 147.8 (-18.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 68 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#132) | -4.8 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#114) | -0.30 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#115) | -0.50 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#144) | 0.438 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.