Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO -200 UTM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CHSO -2.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -1.0 (+14.0) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -3.0 (+12.0) | 133.7 (+17.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -2.8 (+12.2) | 135.2 (+15.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -2.7 (+12.3) | 136.7 (+14.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | UTM 73 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#303) | -4.7 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#288) | -1.10 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#281) | -1.89 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#255) | 0.447 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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