← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
48–17 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
65 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-0.3 | 147.7 | 55% | 82–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.6 | 138.3 | 63% | 56–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.7 | 142.4 | 84% | 61–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.4 | 153.3 | 88% | 66–81 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.4 | 154.1 | 33% | 78–84 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.5 | 147.3 | 69% | 87–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 143.6 | 55% | 72–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.9 | 138.6 | 83% | 89–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.5 | 132.9 | 91% | 52–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.7 | 145.1 | 81% | 53–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 158.9 | 60% | 91–93 | ✗ |
|
|
+25.4 | 142.9 | 91% | 78–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.6 | 147.0 | 91% | 53–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.5 | 155.9 | 71% | 80–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.3 | 141.4 | 83% | 55–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.8 | 142.6 | 49% | 75–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 153.0 | 64% | 70–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 160.4 | 49% | 102–91 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.8 | 133.3 | 84% | 68–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 138.3 | 59% | 60–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.4 | 146.2 | 79% | 55–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.0 | 147.1 | 90% | 62–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.7 | 148.3 | 86% | 89–83 | ✗ |
|
|
-7.8 | 133.3 | 27% | 64–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.1 | 138.9 | 86% | 62–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 161.8 | 59% | 90–89 | ✗ |
|
|
+22.7 | 139.9 | 90% | 57–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 138.0 | 87% | 60–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.0 | 144.9 | 90% | 54–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 142.3 | 70% | 78–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 139.5 | 63% | 72–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.7 | 129.6 | 47% | 85–76 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.8 | 142.9 | 48% | 83–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 148.7 | 62% | 67–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.5 | 133.5 | 43% | 63–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.9 | 124.0 | 29% | 63–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.8 | 166.5 | 40% | 103–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.8 | 134.6 | 26% | 72–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.8 | 139.1 | 90% | 51–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 130.7 | 40% | 80–62 | ✗ |
|
|
-5.8 | 134.6 | 33% | 66–53 | ✓ |
|
|
+25.7 | 141.9 | 90% | 67–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.6 | 134.7 | 84% | 75–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 139.3 | 81% | 70–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 137.1 | 69% | 69–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.8 | 145.3 | 86% | 77–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.6 | 143.4 | 64% | 73–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.9 | 137.9 | 57% | 82–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.3 | 138.3 | 68% | 94–101 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.1 | 144.4 | 85% | 47–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 150.8 | 88% | 62–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.7 | 142.1 | 88% | 71–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.5 | 151.0 | 42% | 89–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 137.0 | 68% | 72–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.0 | 134.6 | 77% | 66–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.1 | 147.8 | 82% | 85–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.8 | 144.7 | 88% | 53–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 137.5 | 60% | 74–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+28.3 | 165.5 | 91% | 84–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.4 | 146.7 | 24% | 69–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 141.5 | 57% | 76–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.4 | 152.6 | 82% | 68–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.1 | 149.3 | 91% | 58–100 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.7 | 135.8 | 28% | 76–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.7 | 137.3 | 51% | 73–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.