Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | USU -50000 UTU +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +30 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | USU -23.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -20.8 (+9.2) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -19.2 (+10.8) | 147.8 (+6.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -18.5 (+11.5) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -23.0 (+7.0) | 147.1 (+6.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2022 | USU 86 – 81 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 2-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-4 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#40) | -6.6 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#3) | -2.12 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.23 (#4) | -3.29 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.704 (#6) | 0.390 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 41.8% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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