Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -800 DART +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -10.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -7.6 (-6.6) | 152.3 (-15.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -7.6 (-6.6) | 153.1 (-16.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.2 (-6.2) | 152.7 (-15.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -8.4 (-7.4) | 152.6 (-15.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#225) | -9.8 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#231) | -0.46 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#234) | -1.26 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#196) | 0.479 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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