Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -280 BUCK +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -8.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.8 (-4.8) | 139.2 (+4.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -8.8 (-4.8) | 139.4 (+4.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.7 (-3.7) | 139.9 (+4.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -8.0 (-4.0) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | RAD 70 – 63 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#154) | -4.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#47) | -0.69 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#55) | -0.84 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#86) | 0.483 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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