Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +105 OKST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -1.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.5 (-7.5) | 132.6 (+28.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.1 (-8.9) | 129.8 (+31.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -0.5 (-9.5) | 131.9 (+29.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.7 (-9.7) | 129.6 (+31.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 7-13 |
| Home | 5-11 | 13-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | 4.0 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#203) | 0.43 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#201) | 0.85 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#234) | 0.516 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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