Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -370 ETSU +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +9 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -5.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+37.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -7.1 (+1.9) | 144.7 (+38.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -6.5 (+2.5) | 142.9 (+40.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -6.9 (+2.1) | 142.6 (+40.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.5 (+5.5) | 147.3 (+35.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#101) | 2.8 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#26) | -0.21 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#29) | -0.08 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#41) | 0.486 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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