Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -1200 ARST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARST +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -18.5 (-31.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -11.8 (-24.8) | 149.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -14.5 (-27.5) | 145.8 (+11.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -14.6 (-27.6) | 145.4 (+11.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -13.1 (-26.1) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | MEM 83 – 54 ARST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#29) | -0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#9) | 0.28 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.90 (#14) | 0.28 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.739 (#3) | 0.538 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.