Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -35.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +37 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -37.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -37.5 (-0.5) | 127.0 (+14.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -36.0 (+1.0) | 128.6 (+12.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -23.8 (+13.2) | 129.7 (+11.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -24.5 (+12.5) | 132.9 (+8.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | LIB 74 – 39 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 9-2 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#60) | -23.7 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#46) | -1.69 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#51) | -2.45 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#49) | 0.489 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 25.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 37.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 26.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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