Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -20000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +35 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -35.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -34.3 (+0.7) | 134.4 (-21.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -33.7 (+1.3) | 137.9 (-24.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -23.9 (+11.1) | 137.5 (-24.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -26.6 (+8.4) | 132.9 (-19.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | LIB 89 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#48) | -20.6 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#52) | -2.28 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#57) | -3.34 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#27) | 0.444 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 38.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.