Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Chaifetz Arena · December 8, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -25.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money SLU -100000 / CHST +4000
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +23 147 Won
Massey SLU -17.6 (+5.4)
Massey Totals 150.9 (-3.9)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML SLU -13.9 (+9.1) 150.8 (-3.8) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -13.2 (+9.8) 146.5 (+0.5) 88%
Baseline ML SLU -15.1 (+7.9) 146.9 (+0.1) 89%
Baseline Plus ML SLU -15.2 (+7.8) 148.2 (-1.2) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2025 SLU 10886 CHST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU CHST
Overall 19-15 4-28
Conference 11-7 4-12
Home 14-3 3-7
Away 4-9 1-19
Neutral 1-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L8
Avg Pts For 73.6 62.5
Avg Pts Against 72.6 78.7
Massey -4.5 (#246) -17.6 (#359)
Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#133) -3.52 (#360)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.50 (#135) -4.96 (#360)
RPI 0.503 (#169) 0.420 (#300)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU CHST
FG% 47.2% 34.8%
3PT% 33.9% 29.0%
REB / G 36.4 33.1
OREB / G 8.9 10.4
AST / TO 1.11 0.66
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 40.5%
TOV% 19.0% 19.6%
ORB% 25.5% 24.7%
FT Rate 19.4% 18.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 17.7%
DRB% 72.6% 62.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 31.0%

Game Analysis

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