Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -160 SMC +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -9.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.0 (-16.0) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.7 (-15.7) | 144.9 (-9.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.6 (-15.6) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.3 (-15.3) | 143.6 (-8.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2023 | UTAH 78 – 71 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-1 |
| Home | 15-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 61.8 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#28) | 9.5 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#97) | 2.87 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#84) | 4.15 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#224) | 0.656 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 44.3 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 16.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 43.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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