Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | SMC -205 UTAH +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -0.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -2.7 (-9.7) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -1.7 (-8.7) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -1.5 (-8.5) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -2.9 (-9.9) | 138.7 (+10.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | SMC 72 – 63 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 9-0 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | 9.0 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#248) | -0.16 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#188) | -0.63 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#182) | 0.509 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 16.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 41.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 11.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.