Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -36.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +42 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -33.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -34.4 (+7.6) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -33.2 (+8.8) | 148.8 (+9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -24.2 (+17.8) | 149.9 (+8.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -27.1 (+14.9) | 149.3 (+8.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | ISU 47 – 37 JKST |
| Dec 20, 2020 | ISU 60 – 45 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#13) | -11.3 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#13) | -2.03 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.66 (#7) | -2.51 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#33) | 0.455 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 59.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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