Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -20.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +15 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -15.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-37.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -10.0 (+5.0) | 136.9 (-31.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -10.5 (+4.5) | 140.6 (-35.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -11.4 (+3.6) | 140.9 (-35.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -12.8 (+2.2) | 140.6 (-35.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | ISU 100 – 58 JKST |
| Dec 12, 2021 | ISU 47 – 37 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-0 |
| Home | 2-10 | 6-0 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#221) | -14.3 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#290) | -1.75 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#301) | -2.77 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#224) | 0.407 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 28.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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