I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Hilton Coliseum · December 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -18.0 Away covered
O/U 126.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total ISU win
Actual ISU +10 84 Won
Massey ISU -21.7 (-11.7)
Massey Totals 116.6 (-32.6)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML ISU -19.1 (-9.1) 128.6 (-44.6) 88%
Baseline ML ISU -19.5 (-9.5) 127.4 (-43.4) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -18.6 (-8.6) 128.2 (-44.2) 90%
Efficiency Plus ML ISU -18.4 (-8.4) 125.0 (-41.0) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 8, 2024 ISU 10058 JKST
Dec 20, 2020 ISU 6045 JKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ISU JKST
Overall 22-13 11-19
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 14-5 6-3
Away 4-6 5-15
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.6 60.9
Avg Pts Against 62.5 65.4
Massey 11.9 (#27) -4.9 (#261)
Bradley-Terry 4.75 (#1) 0.53 (#141)
W. Bradley-Terry 7.12 (#1) 0.80 (#132)
RPI 0.614 (#35) 0.562 (#78)
Shooting & Four Factors ISU JKST
FG% 45.0% 37.3%
3PT% 34.7% 34.5%
REB / G 37.8 33.9
OREB / G 12.6 10.9
AST / TO 1.10 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 42.5%
TOV% 19.8% 21.8%
ORB% 35.3% 28.0%
FT Rate 22.0% 14.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.4% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 26.2% 21.5%
DRB% 71.8% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 26.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.