Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +115 MRMK -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -3.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -0.4 (-18.4) | 130.7 (+11.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.1 (-19.1) | 126.4 (+15.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.1 (-19.1) | 126.8 (+15.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -1.3 (-19.3) | 129.4 (+12.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | MRMK 73 – 66 NIA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MRMK 64 – 59 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#274) | -4.5 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#219) | -0.61 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#269) | -0.75 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#231) | 0.470 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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