Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -1700 FRES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -15.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -15.2 (-0.2) | 151.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -15.7 (-0.7) | 149.4 (-2.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -15.8 (-0.8) | 149.1 (-2.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -14.4 (+0.6) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2021 | FRES 59 – 52 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 80.7 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#86) | -5.3 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#117) | -0.96 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#109) | -1.28 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#75) | 0.420 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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