Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -3000 SEMO +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +20 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -12.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -12.8 (+7.2) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -11.9 (+8.1) | 143.7 (-17.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -11.5 (+8.5) | 143.5 (-17.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -12.5 (+7.5) | 145.9 (-19.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | MUR 88 – 74 SEMO |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MUR 70 – 68 SEMO |
| Dec 31, 2021 | MUR 106 – 81 SEMO |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MUR 80 – 60 SEMO |
| Feb 2, 2021 | MUR 77 – 60 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#113) | -4.4 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#106) | -1.40 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#66) | -1.78 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#166) | 0.425 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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