Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -1600 FGCU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -13.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.1 (-3.1) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -12.5 (-3.5) | 140.9 (+10.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -12.2 (-3.2) | 140.6 (+10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -14.7 (-5.7) | 142.1 (+8.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#58) | 0.8 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#29) | -0.25 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#30) | -0.37 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#34) | 0.506 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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