Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NE -380 COLG +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NE -16.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -12.8 (-9.8) | 133.3 (+19.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NE -9.6 (-6.6) | 134.7 (+18.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -12.4 (-9.4) | 133.9 (+19.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -12.6 (-9.6) | 133.0 (+20.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | NE 68 – 65 COLG |
| Dec 4, 2021 | NE 74 – 69 COLG |
| Nov 10, 2021 | COLG 65 – 58 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#112) | -9.0 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#135) | -1.73 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | -2.18 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#154) | 0.413 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 8.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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