Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -225 NE +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -29.9 (-32.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | COLG -11.6 (-14.6) | 144.0 (-11.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.6 (-14.6) | 149.2 (-16.2) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | NE 78 – 75 COLG |
| Dec 4, 2021 | NE 74 – 69 COLG |
| Nov 10, 2021 | COLG 65 – 58 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#85) | -7.0 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#182) | -2.18 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#161) | -2.53 (#260) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 3.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 9.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 7.0% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 53.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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