Betting Lines
| Spread | MER -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | STET +145 MER -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | MER -2.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -3.0 (-3.0) | 151.9 (+20.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MER -2.9 (-3.1) | 154.5 (+17.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -2.4 (-3.6) | 152.5 (+19.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MER -1.5 (-4.5) | 151.0 (+21.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#342) | -4.4 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#364) | -0.39 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.91 (#364) | -0.96 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#351) | 0.472 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.