Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -130 UNCO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -3.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -4.7 (+7.3) | 153.9 (-1.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -3.8 (+8.2) | 153.1 (-1.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -3.9 (+8.1) | 153.5 (-1.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -2.2 (+9.8) | 153.0 (-1.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | UNCO 80 – 70 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#147) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#173) | 0.48 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#175) | 1.13 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#239) | 0.545 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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