Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -120 CONN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -1.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -2.6 (-13.6) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -4.5 (-15.5) | 143.3 (-2.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -5.1 (-16.1) | 143.7 (-2.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.3 (-17.3) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | CONN 71 – 63 TEX |
| Nov 21, 2023 | CONN 81 – 71 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#46) | 14.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#57) | 0.76 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#71) | 1.54 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#106) | 0.487 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 2.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.