← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

35–20 on winners spread MAE 9.5 55 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Lafayette @ Lehigh	+1.2	132.0	59%	49–61	✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State	+4.2	134.9	67%	71–51	✗
Charlotte @ Western Kentucky	-1.9	129.1	38%	75–71	✓
Incarnate Word @ Lamar	+0.6	140.3	46%	70–64	✗
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian	+2.9	134.0	65%	68–84	✓
App State @ Old Dominion	+4.5	133.2	66%	72–58	✗
Robert Morris @ Green Bay	-7.7	134.8	23%	72–38	✓
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee	-2.6	155.2	45%	75–88	✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State	-0.8	143.7	36%	85–77	✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast	+3.1	139.9	63%	65–63	✗
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State	-10.1	129.3	15%	65–61	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State	-2.9	134.5	42%	55–56	✗
Tulane @ Tulsa	-7.3	158.0	27%	79–81	✗
Washington @ Utah	+6.6	141.5	71%	61–86	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian	-8.9	155.2	23%	78–90	✗
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon	+2.4	142.6	57%	76–74	✗
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's	+11.4	134.1	84%	58–77	✓
BYU @ San Francisco	+1.9	145.9	62%	74–82	✓
Portland State @ Idaho State	-0.5	147.5	54%	72–65	✓
Idaho @ Northern Colorado	+4.3	148.2	73%	67–73	✓
Florida @ Mississippi State	+2.8	128.4	62%	61–59	✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama	+5.0	156.3	73%	66–82	✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTEP	-7.3	135.8	30%	67–59	✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech	+0.9	142.7	63%	76–89	✓
Sacramento State @ Weber State	+1.8	129.5	72%	48–50	✓
Montana State @ Montana	-0.7	133.2	41%	67–64	✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific	-12.2	165.0	12%	99–90	✓
USC @ Arizona State	+3.8	139.9	70%	77–69	✗
San Diego State @ Air Force	-5.3	136.1	24%	70–60	✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist	+4.1	130.3	69%	48–77	✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara	+13.3	122.7	86%	58–76	✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge	-7.3	130.3	24%	66–69	✗
Oregon @ Stanford	-2.4	133.4	46%	64–71	✗
Butler @ UConn	+14.0	138.0	88%	56–86	✓
Michigan State @ Indiana	+5.9	138.6	72%	69–82	✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University	-6.9	137.7	20%	58–42	✓
Maryland @ Purdue	+11.3	130.4	86%	55–58	✓
Memphis @ Cincinnati	+2.2	152.3	64%	75–68	✗
NJIT @ Vermont	+14.0	137.1	87%	69–85	✓
Bryant @ UMass Lowell	+3.0	154.8	64%	79–98	✓
Minnesota @ Michigan	+11.2	140.3	86%	56–60	✓
Merrimack @ St. Francis Brooklyn	-0.7	125.0	29%	63–55	✓
Sacred Heart @ Wagner	+5.5	130.9	69%	58–68	✓
Binghamton @ Maine	+2.5	138.7	57%	57–78	✓
Fairfield @ Siena	+6.2	132.2	74%	62–52	✗
Niagara @ Saint Peter's	+1.3	120.4	50%	59–57	✗
Manhattan @ Rider	+8.5	138.8	78%	65–67	✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac	+10.3	142.5	85%	82–87	✓
Marist @ Mount St. Mary's	+1.9	126.4	54%	55–59	✓
Temple @ Houston	+17.6	130.1	89%	56–55	✗
Wichita State @ SMU	+0.9	138.5	55%	71–69	✗
Oregon State @ California	+1.8	127.0	61%	68–48	✗
Furman @ Wofford	-2.0	146.3	36%	96–82	✓
Washington State @ Colorado	+3.8	132.5	71%	55–58	✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson	+3.4	147.2	53%	70–59	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.