Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +240 CSUF -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -5.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -6.8 (+9.8) | 131.5 (+3.5) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -7.3 (+10.3) | 130.3 (+4.7) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -7.6 (+10.6) | 130.3 (+4.7) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -7.8 (+10.8) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 0-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#316) | 0.9 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#357) | -0.08 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#356) | -0.02 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#355) | 0.495 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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