Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +210 FAU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -8.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.6 (-1.4) | 135.9 (-9.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.3 (-0.7) | 135.8 (-9.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -5.7 (-2.3) | 134.7 (-8.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.4 (-1.6) | 134.6 (-8.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2023 | FAU 75 – 49 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 FAU |
| Mar 11, 2021 | FAU 76 – 70 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-0 |
| Away | 3-10 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#174) | 11.7 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#159) | 3.06 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#168) | 3.14 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#175) | 0.623 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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