Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -1000 UTEP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +26 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -16.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -16.4 (+9.6) | 144.2 (-20.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -13.2 (+12.8) | 141.9 (-17.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -15.1 (+10.9) | 144.7 (-20.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -15.0 (+11.0) | 145.6 (-21.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | FAU 67 – 59 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 FAU |
| Mar 11, 2021 | FAU 76 – 70 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#30) | -0.8 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#15) | -0.11 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#30) | -0.23 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#19) | 0.492 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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