Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FAU +175 UTEP -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -2.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -2.7 (+8.7) | 135.8 (+10.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.8 (+6.8) | 132.9 (+13.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.4 (+8.4) | 135.9 (+10.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -2.3 (+8.3) | 135.5 (+10.5) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2023 | FAU 75 – 49 UTEP |
| Jan 22, 2023 | FAU 67 – 59 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 FAU |
Game Analysis
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