Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -1400 NJIT +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -11.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -9.6 (+6.4) | 137.5 (+16.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -14.0 (+2.0) | 137.1 (+16.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -9.3 (+6.7) | 136.1 (+17.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -9.2 (+6.8) | 137.5 (+16.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-6 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#169) | -8.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#173) | -2.06 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#191) | -2.23 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.405 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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