Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WOF +170 FUR -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +14 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -1.9 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -1.5 (-12.5) | 146.6 (+31.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -2.0 (-12.0) | 146.3 (+31.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -1.6 (-12.4) | 146.5 (+31.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -2.1 (-11.9) | 148.7 (+29.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#216) | 3.4 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#226) | 0.42 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#233) | 0.49 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#246) | 0.510 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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