Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -200 TAR +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +29 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -4.7 (+24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -3.4 (+25.6) | 132.5 (-7.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -4.1 (+24.9) | 130.3 (-5.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -3.1 (+25.9) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -2.9 (+26.1) | 132.6 (-7.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#157) | -0.3 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#177) | 0.21 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#159) | 0.22 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#225) | 0.522 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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