Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +250 AMCC -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +12 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -11.3 (+23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -9.1 (+21.1) | 154.8 (+13.2) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.9 (+20.9) | 155.2 (+12.8) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -10.8 (+22.8) | 157.9 (+10.1) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -9.8 (+21.8) | 156.8 (+11.2) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#357) | -1.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#350) | -0.69 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#352) | -0.56 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#348) | 0.465 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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