Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | RID -350 MAN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | RID -11.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -9.6 (-7.6) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -8.5 (-6.5) | 138.8 (-6.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -9.2 (-7.2) | 138.8 (-6.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -8.6 (-6.6) | 138.2 (-6.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#204) | -9.7 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#228) | -1.82 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#224) | -2.52 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#208) | 0.417 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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