Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +188 CCSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +16 | 100 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -8.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-42.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -8.9 (-7.1) | 135.5 (-35.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -6.9 (-9.1) | 137.7 (-37.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -7.8 (-8.2) | 136.6 (-36.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -8.1 (-7.9) | 136.4 (-36.4) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 2-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -21.5 (#363) | -9.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.76 (#363) | -2.61 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.34 (#363) | -3.01 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#359) | 0.379 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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