Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ME -120 BING +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ME -5.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -2.9 (+18.1) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -2.5 (+18.5) | 138.7 (-3.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -2.6 (+18.4) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -2.7 (+18.3) | 140.1 (-5.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BING 74 – 67 ME |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ME 79 – 63 BING |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BING 71 – 69 ME |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ME 82 – 71 BING |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BING 76 – 74 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#287) | -8.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#323) | -1.28 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#316) | -2.13 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#306) | 0.450 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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