Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -250 CARK +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -6.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -5.7 (+10.3) | 158.9 (-10.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -5.0 (+11.0) | 156.3 (-8.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -4.6 (+11.4) | 158.8 (-10.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -4.7 (+11.3) | 159.2 (-11.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | CARK 72 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNA 82 – 78 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#315) | -11.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#230) | -1.50 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#271) | -2.23 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#241) | 0.434 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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